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Attribution Black Sea Storm 2024

Black Sea region - time series

precipitation (3-day average)

Observations
mswep, era5

Models
EURO-CORDEX: CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_ALADIN63, CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_ALARO-0, CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_CCLM4-8-17, CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_HIRHAM5, CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_HadREM3-GA7-05, CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_RACMO22E, CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4, CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_REMO2015, CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_RegCM4-6, CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_WRF381P, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12i1p1_CCLM4-8-17, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12i1p1_COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12i1p1_HIRHAM5, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12i1p1_HadREM3-GA7-05, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12i1p1_RACMO22E, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12i1p1_RCA4, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12i1p1_RegCM4-6, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12i1p1_WRF381P, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r1i1p1_COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r1i1p1_HIRHAM5, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r1i1p1_RACMO22E, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r3i1p1_COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r3i1p1_HIRHAM5, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r3i1p1_RACMO22E, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r3i1p1_RCA4, HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_ALADIN63, HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_CCLM4-8-17, HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_HIRHAM5, HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_HadREM3-GA7-05, HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_RACMO22E, HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4, HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_RegCM4-6, HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_WRF381P, IPSL-CM5A-MR_rcp85_r1i1p1_HIRHAM5, IPSL-CM5A-MR_rcp85_r1i1p1_RACMO22E, IPSL-CM5A-MR_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4, IPSL-CM5A-MR_rcp85_r1i1p1_REMO2015, IPSL-CM5A-MR_rcp85_r1i1p1_WRF381P, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_ALADIN63, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_CCLM4-8-17, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_HIRHAM5, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_HadREM3-GA7-05, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_RACMO22E, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_REMO2009, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_RegCM4-6, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_WRF361H, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r2i1p1_COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r2i1p1_RCA4, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r2i1p1_REMO2009, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r3i1p1_COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r3i1p1_RCA4, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r3i1p1_REMO2015, NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_ALADIN63, NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_HIRHAM5, NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_HadREM3-GA7-05, NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_RACMO22E, NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4, NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_REMO2015, NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_RegCM4-6, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12i1p1_CCLM5-0-9-NEMOMED12-3-6
CMIP6: ACCESS-ESM1-5_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, BCC-CSM2-MR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, CESM2-WACCM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, CMCC-CM2-SR5_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, CMCC-ESM2_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, CanESM5_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, EC-Earth3-CC_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr, EC-Earth3-Veg_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr, EC-Earth3_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr, FGOALS-g3_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, GFDL-CM4(2)_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr2, GFDL-CM4_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr1, GFDL-CM4_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr2, GFDL-ESM4_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr1, IITM-ESM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, INM-CM4-8_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr1, INM-CM5-0_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr1, IPSL-CM6A-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr, KACE-1-0-G_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr, KIOST-ESM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr1, MIROC6_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, MPI-ESM1-2-HR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, MPI-ESM1-2-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, MRI-ESM2-0_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, NESM3_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, NorCPM1_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, NorESM2-LM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, NorESM2-MM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, TaiESM1_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn

windspeed (3-day average)

Observations
mswep era5

Models
EURO-CORDEX: CNRM-CM5_r1_ALADIN63, CNRM-CM5_r1_CCLM4-8-17, CNRM-CM5_r1_COSMO-crCLIM-, CNRM-CM5_r1_HIRHAM5, CNRM-CM5_r1_HadREM3-GA7-05, CNRM-CM5_r1_RACMO22E, CNRM-CM5_r1_RCA4, CNRM-CM5_r1_REMO2015, CNRM-CM5_r1_RegCM4-6, CNRM-CM5_r1_WRF381P, EC-EARTH_r12_CCLM4-8-17, EC-EARTH_r12_COSMO-crCLIM-, EC-EARTH_r12_HIRHAM5, EC-EARTH_r12_HadREM3-GA7-05, EC-EARTH_r12_RACMO22E, EC-EARTH_r12_RCA4, EC-EARTH_r12_RegCM4-6, EC-EARTH_r12_WRF381P, EC-EARTH_r1_COSMO-crCLIM-, EC-EARTH_r1_HIRHAM5, EC-EARTH_r1_RACMO22E, EC-EARTH_r1_RCA4, EC-EARTH_r3_COSMO-crCLIM-, EC-EARTH_r3_HIRHAM5, EC-EARTH_r3_RACMO22E, EC-EARTH_r3_RCA4, HadGEM2-ES_r1_ALADIN63, HadGEM2-ES_r1_CCLM4-8-17, HadGEM2-ES_r1_COSMO-crCLIM-, HadGEM2-ES_r1_HIRHAM5, HadGEM2-ES_r1_HadREM3-GA7-05, HadGEM2-ES_r1_RACMO22E, HadGEM2-ES_r1_RCA4, HadGEM2-ES_r1_WRF381P, IPSL-CM5A-MR_r1_HIRHAM5, IPSL-CM5A-MR_r1_RACMO22E, IPSL-CM5A-MR_r1_RCA4, IPSL-CM5A-MR_r1_REMO2015, IPSL-CM5A-MR_r1_WRF381P, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_ALADIN63, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_CCLM4-8-17, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_COSMO-crCLIM-, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_HIRHAM5, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_HadREM3-GA7-05, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_RACMO22E, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_RCA4, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_REMO2009, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_RegCM4-6, MPI-ESM-LR_r2_COSMO-crCLIM-, MPI-ESM-LR_r2_RCA4, MPI-ESM-LR_r2_REMO2009, MPI-ESM-LR_r3_COSMO-crCLIM-, MPI-ESM-LR_r3_RCA4, MPI-ESM-LR_r3_REMO2015, NorESM1-M_r1_ALADIN63, NorESM1-M_r1_COSMO-crCLIM-, NorESM1-M_r1_HIRHAM5, NorESM1-M_r1_HadREM3-GA7-05, NorESM1-M_r1_RACMO22E, NorESM1-M_r1_RCA4, NorESM1-M_r1_REMO2015, NorESM1-M_r1_RegCM4-6, NorESM1-M_r1_WRF381P

smoothed GSAT [C]:
CMIP5 (rcp8.5): CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r1, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r3, HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1, IPSL-CM5A-MR_rcp85_r1, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r2, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r3, NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1
CMIP6 (ssp585): ACCESS-ESM1-5, BCC-CSM2-MR, CMCC-CM2-SR5, CMCC-ESM2, CanESM5, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR, EC-Earth3-Veg, EC-Earth3, FGOALS-g3, GFDL-CM4, GFDL-ESM4, INM-CM4-8, INM-CM5-0, IPSL-CM6A-LR, KACE-1-0-G, MIROC6, MPI-ESM1-2-HR, MPI-ESM1-2-LR, MRI-ESM2-0, NorESM2-LM, NorESM2-MM, TaiESM1

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