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Seasonal Forecasts

K-PREP empirical seasonal forecasting system

Past observations are used to deduce significant correlations between the weather in the last three months (up to the beginning of the month) and the weather over the next season (from the end of the month). The main predictors are El Niño / La Niña and the trends due to global warming. Overfitting is avoided as much as possible. The forecasts are accessible in interactive web applications. The system has been documented in Eden et al, 2015.

Seasonal forecasts of fire weather / Monthly Drought Code.

Seasonal forecasts of temperature, precipitation and sea level pressure.

Old seasonal forecast verification page