Attribution southern Brazil Floods 2024

Rio Grande do Sul - time series

pr4day MAM

Observations
CHIRPS, CPC, GPCC, MSWX

Models
Cordex: CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4_v3, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4_v3, CanESM2_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4_v3, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12i1p1_RCA4_v3, GFDL-ESM2M_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4_v3, HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4_v3, HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_RegCM4-7_v0, IPSL-CM5A-MR_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4_v3, MIROC5_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4_v3, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4_v3, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_REMO2009_v1, MPI-ESM-MR_rcp85_r1i1p1_RegCM4-7_v0, NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4_v3, NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_RegCM4-7_v0
CMIP6: E3SM-1-0_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr, EC-Earth3-CC_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr, EC-Earth3_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr, INM-CM4-8_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr1, INM-CM5-0_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr1, KACE-1-0-G_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr, MIROC6_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, MPI-ESM1-2-HR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, MPI-ESM1-2-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, NESM3_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, NorESM2-LM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn
AM, FLOR: am_6, am_7, am_8, 1_flor, 2_flor, 3_flor, 4_flor, 5_flor, 6_flor, 7_flor, 8_flor, 9_flor, 10_flor

pr10day MAM

Observations
CHIRPS, CPC, GPCC, MSWX

Models
Cordex: CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4_v3, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4_v3, CanESM2_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4_v3, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12i1p1_RCA4_v3, GFDL-ESM2M_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4_v3, HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4_v3, HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_RegCM4-7_v0, IPSL-CM5A-MR_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4_v3, MIROC5_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4_v3, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4_v3, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_REMO2009_v1, MPI-ESM-MR_rcp85_r1i1p1_RegCM4-7_v0, NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_RCA4_v3, NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_RegCM4-7_v0
CMIP6: E3SM-1-0_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr, EC-Earth3-CC_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr, EC-Earth3_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr, INM-CM4-8_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr1, INM-CM5-0_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr1, KACE-1-0-G_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gr, MIROC6_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, MPI-ESM1-2-HR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, MPI-ESM1-2-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, NESM3_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn, NorESM2-LM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_gn
AM FLOR: am_6, am_7, am_8, 1_flor, 2_flor, 3_flor, 4_flor, 5_flor, 6_flor, 7_flor, 8_flor, 9_flor, 10_flor

covariates

Smoothed GSAT
Cordex (CMIP5 - rcp85): CNRM-CM5, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0, CanESM2, EC-EARTH, GFDL-ESM2M, HadGEM2-ES, IPSL-CM5A-MR, MIROC5, MPI-ESM-LR, MPI-ESM-MR, NorESM1-M
CMIP6 (hssp858): E3SM-1-0_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3-CC_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3_r1i1p1f1, INM-CM4-8_r1i1p1f1, INM-CM5-0_r1i1p1f1, KACE-1-0-G_r1i1p1f1, MIROC6_r1i1p1f1, MPI-ESM1-2-HR_r1i1p1f1, MPI-ESM1-2-LR_r1i1p1f1, NESM3_r1i1p1f1, NorESM2-LM_r1i1p1f1
AM, FLOR: gmst_am_6, gmst_am_7, gmst_am_8, gmst_1, gmst_2, gmst_3, gmst_4, gmst_5, gmst_6, gmst_7, gmst_8, gmst_9, gmst_10

Nino3.4 detrended
Cordex - CMIP5: CNRM-CM5_r1i1p1, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0_r1i1p1, CanESM2_r1i1p1, GFDL-ESM2M_r1i1p1, HadGEM2-ES_r1i1p1, IPSL-CM5A-MR_r1i1p1, MIROC5_r1i1p1, MPI-ESM-LR_r1i1p1, MPI-ESM-MR_r1i1p1, NorESM1-M_r1i1p1
CMIP6: EC-Earth3-CC_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3_r1i1p1f1, INM-CM4-8_r1i1p1f1, INM-CM5-0_r1i1p1f1, KACE-1-0-G_r1i1p1f1, MIROC6_r1i1p1f1, MPI-ESM1-2-HR_r1i1p1f1, MPI-ESM1-2-LR_r1i1p1f1, NESM3_r1i1p1f1, NorESM2-LM_r1i1p1f1
AM, FLOR: nino_am_6, nino_am_7, nino_am_8 nino_1, nino_2, nino_3, nino_4, nino_5, nino_6, nino_7, nino_8, nino_9, nino_10

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