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Attribution Horn of Africa Floods 2023

time series

Rx30day Oct/Nov/Dec

Observations
30-day [mm/30-day]: cpc, mswep, tamsat
3-day [mm/3-day]: cpc, mswep, tamsat

Models [mm/30-day]
CORDEX-Afr-22: CanESM2_CCCma-CanRCM4, HadGEM2-ES_CLMcom-KIT-CCLM5-0-15, HadGEM2-ES_GERICS-REMO2015, HadGEM2-ES_ICTP-RegCM4-7, MPI-ESM-LR_CLMcom-KIT-CCLM5-0-15, MPI-ESM-LR_GERICS-REMO2015, MPI-ESM-MR_ICTP-RegCM4-7, NorESM1-M_CLMcom-KIT-CCLM5-0-15, NorESM1-M_GERICS-REMO2015, NorESM1-M_ICTP-RegCM4-7
CORDEX-Afr-44: CM5A-LR_GERICS-REMO2009, CNRM-CM5_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, CanESM2_CCCma-CanRCM4, EC-EARTH_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, EC-EARTH_DMI-HIRHAM5, EC-EARTH_KNMI-RACMO22T, EC-EARTH_MPI-CSC-REMO2009, GFDL-ESM2G_GERICS-REMO2009, HadGEM2-ES_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, HadGEM2-ES_GERICS-REMO2009, HadGEM2-ES_ICTP-RegCM4-3, HadGEM2-ES_KNMI-RACMO22T, MIROC5_GERICS-REMO2009, MPI-ESM-LR_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MPI-ESM-LR_MPI-CSC-REMO2009, MPI-ESM-MR_ICTP-RegCM4-3
CMIP6: ACCESS-CM2, ACCESS-ESM1-5, AWI-CM-1-1-MR, AWI-ESM-1-1-LR, BCC-CSM2-MR, BCC-ESM1, CESM2-FV2, CESM2-WACCM, CESM2, CMCC-CM2-HR4, CMCC-CM2-SR5, CMCC-ESM2, CanESM5-1, CanESM5, E3SM-1-1-ECA, E3SM-2-0-NARRM, E3SM-2-0, EC-Earth3-AerChem, EC-Earth3-CC, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR, EC-Earth3-Veg, EC-Earth3, FGOALS-f3-L, FGOALS-g3, GFDL-CM4, GFDL-ESM4, GISS-E2-2-G, IITM-ESM, INM-CM4-8, INM-CM5-0, IPSL-CM5A2-INCA, IPSL-CM6A-LR-INCA, IPSL-CM6A-LR, KACE-1-0-G, KIOST-ESM, MIROC6, MPI-ESM-1-2-HAM, MPI-ESM1-2-HR, MPI-ESM1-2-LR, MRI-ESM2-0, NESM3, NorCPM1, NorESM2-LM, NorESM2-MM, SAM0-UNICON, TaiESM1
HighResMIP: BCC-CSM2-HR, CAMS-CSM1-0, CMCC-CM2-HR4, CMCC-CM2-VHR4, EC-Earth3P-HR, EC-Earth3P, ECMWF-IFS-HR, ECMWF-IFS-LR, FGOALS-f3-H, FGOALS-f3-L, GFDL-CM4C192, HadGEM3-GC31-HM, HadGEM3-GC31-LM, HadGEM3-GC31-MM, HiRAM-SIT-HR, HiRAM-SIT-LR, INM-CM5-H, IPSL-CM6A-ATM-HR, IPSL-CM6A-LR, MPI-ESM1-2-HR, MPI-ESM1-2-XR, MRI-AGCM3-2-H, MRI-AGCM3-2-S, NICAM16-7S, NICAM16-8S, NICAM16-9S

IOD Sep/Oct/Nov [C]:
Observations: IOD
Models:
CMIP6: ACCESS-CM2_r1i1p1f1, ACCESS-ESM1-5_r1i1p1f1, AWI-CM-1-1-MR_r1i1p1f1, BCC-CSM2-MR_r1i1p1f1, CESM2-WACCM_r1i1p1f1, CESM2_r1i1p1f1, CMCC-CM2-SR5_r1i1p1f1, CMCC-ESM2_r1i1p1f1, CanESM5_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3-CC_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3-Veg_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3_r1i1p1f1, FGOALS-f3-L_r1i1p1f1, GFDL-CM4_r1i1p1f1, GFDL-ESM4_r1i1p1f1, INM-CM4-8_r1i1p1f1, INM-CM5-0_r1i1p1f1, IPSL-CM6A-LR_r1i1p1f1, KACE-1-0-G_r1i1p1f1, KIOST-ESM_r1i1p1f1, MIROC6_r1i1p1f1, MPI-ESM1-2-HR_r1i1p1f1, MPI-ESM1-2-LR_r1i1p1f1, MRI-ESM2-0_r1i1p1f1, NESM3_r1i1p1f1, NorESM2-LM_r1i1p1f1, NorESM2-MM_r1i1p1f1, TaiESM1_r1i1p1f1, CMIP5: CNRM-CM5_1, CanESM2_1, HadGEM2-ES_1, IPSL-CM5A-LR_1, MIROC5_1, MPI-ESM-LR_1, MPI-ESM-MR_1, NorESM1-M_1

smoothed GSAT (models) [C]:
CMIP6: ACCESS-CM2_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, ACCESS-ESM1-5_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, AWI-CM-1-1-MR_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, BCC-CSM2-MR_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, CMCC-CM2-SR5_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, CMCC-ESM2_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, CNRM-CM6-1-HR_r1i1p1f2.hssp585, CNRM-CM6-1_r1i1p1f2.hssp585, CanESM5_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, EC-Earth3-Veg_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, EC-Earth3_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, FGOALS-g3_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, GFDL-CM4_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, GFDL-ESM4_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, INM-CM4-8_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, INM-CM5-0_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, IPSL-CM6A-LR_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, KACE-1-0-G_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, MIROC6_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, MPI-ESM1-2-HR_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, MPI-ESM1-2-LR_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, MRI-ESM2-0_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, NorESM2-LM_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, NorESM2-MM_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, TaiESM1_r1i1p1f1.hssp585
CMIP5: CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1, CanESM2_rcp85_r1, HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1, IPSL-CM5A-MR_rcp85_r1, MIROC5_rcp85_r1, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1, MPI-ESM-MR_rcp85_r1, NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1

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