Attribution Italy Drought 2024

Sicily and Sardinia - time series

Sardinia

Observations
SPEI: CPC, ERA5, ERA5_precalc, MSWEP
precipitation: CPC, ERA5, MSWEP
temperature: CPC, ERA5, MSWEP

Models - EURO-CORDEX
SPEI:
CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_GERICS-REMO2015, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_ICTP-RegCM4-6, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_KNMI-RACMO22E, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_KNMI-RACMO22E, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_GERICS-REMO2015, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_KNMI-RACMO22E, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_ICTP-RegCM4-6, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_KNMI-RACMO22E, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_ICTP-RegCM4-6, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_KNMI-RACMO22E, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_MPI-CSC-REMO2009, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_UHOH-WRF361H, NCC-NorESM1-M_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, NCC-NorESM1-M_GERICS-REMO2015, NCC-NorESM1-M_ICTP-RegCM4-6, NCC-NorESM1-M_KNMI-RACMO22E, NOAA-GFDL-GFDL-ESM2G_GERICS-REMO2015
precipitation:
CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_GERICS-REMO2015, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_ICTP-RegCM4-6, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_KNMI-RACMO22E, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_KNMI-RACMO22E, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_GERICS-REMO2015, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_KNMI-RACMO22E, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_ICTP-RegCM4-6, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_KNMI-RACMO22E, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_ICTP-RegCM4-6, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_KNMI-RACMO22E, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_MPI-CSC-REMO2009, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_UHOH-WRF361H, NCC-NorESM1-M_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, NCC-NorESM1-M_GERICS-REMO2015, NCC-NorESM1-M_ICTP-RegCM4-6, NCC-NorESM1-M_KNMI-RACMO22E, NOAA-GFDL-GFDL-ESM2G_GERICS-REMO2015
temperature:
CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_GERICS-REMO2015, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_ICTP-RegCM4-6, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_KNMI-RACMO22E, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_KNMI-RACMO22E, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_GERICS-REMO2015, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_KNMI-RACMO22E, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_ICTP-RegCM4-6, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_KNMI-RACMO22E, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_ICTP-RegCM4-6, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_KNMI-RACMO22E, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_MPI-CSC-REMO2009, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_UHOH-WRF361H, NCC-NorESM1-M_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, NCC-NorESM1-M_GERICS-REMO2015, NCC-NorESM1-M_ICTP-RegCM4-6, NCC-NorESM1-M_KNMI-RACMO22E, NOAA-GFDL-GFDL-ESM2G_GERICS-REMO2015

Sicily

Observations
SPEI: CPC, ERA5, ERA5_precalc, MSWEP
precipitation: CPC, ERA5, MSWEP
temperature: CPC, ERA5, MSWEP,

Models - EURO-CORDEX
SPEI:
CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_GERICS-REMO2015, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_ICTP-RegCM4-6, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_KNMI-RACMO22E, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_KNMI-RACMO22E, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_GERICS-REMO2015, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_KNMI-RACMO22E, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_ICTP-RegCM4-6, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_KNMI-RACMO22E, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_ICTP-RegCM4-6, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_KNMI-RACMO22E, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_MPI-CSC-REMO2009, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_UHOH-WRF361H, NCC-NorESM1-M_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, NCC-NorESM1-M_GERICS-REMO2015, NCC-NorESM1-M_ICTP-RegCM4-6, NCC-NorESM1-M_KNMI-RACMO22E, NOAA-GFDL-GFDL-ESM2G_GERICS-REMO2015
precipitation:
CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_GERICS-REMO2015, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_ICTP-RegCM4-6, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_KNMI-RACMO22E, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_KNMI-RACMO22E, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_GERICS-REMO2015, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_KNMI-RACMO22E, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_ICTP-RegCM4-6, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_KNMI-RACMO22E, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_ICTP-RegCM4-6, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_KNMI-RACMO22E, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_MPI-CSC-REMO2009, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_UHOH-WRF361H, NCC-NorESM1-M_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, NCC-NorESM1-M_GERICS-REMO2015, NCC-NorESM1-M_ICTP-RegCM4-6, NCC-NorESM1-M_KNMI-RACMO22E, NOAA-GFDL-GFDL-ESM2G_GERICS-REMO2015
temperature:
CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_GERICS-REMO2015, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_ICTP-RegCM4-6, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_KNMI-RACMO22E, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_KNMI-RACMO22E, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_GERICS-REMO2015, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_KNMI-RACMO22E, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_ICTP-RegCM4-6, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_KNMI-RACMO22E, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_ICTP-RegCM4-6, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_KNMI-RACMO22E, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_MPI-CSC-REMO2009, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_UHOH-WRF361H, NCC-NorESM1-M_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, NCC-NorESM1-M_GERICS-REMO2015, NCC-NorESM1-M_ICTP-RegCM4-6, NCC-NorESM1-M_KNMI-RACMO22E, NOAA-GFDL-GFDL-ESM2G_GERICS-REMO2015

GMST/smoothed GSAT [C]:
gmst
CMIP5 (rcp8.5): CNRM-CM5, EC-EARTH, GFDL-ESM2M, HadGEM2-ES, MPI-ESM-LR

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