Attribution southern Africa Drought 2024

Zimbabwe, Zambia, Mozambique, Botswana - time series

precipitation DJF

Observations [mm]
chirps, era5, mswep, tamsat
Models [mm]
CMIP6: ACCESS-CM2, ACCESS-ESM1-5, CMCC-ESM2, CNRM-CM6-1-HR, CNRM-CM6-1, CanESM5, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR, EC-Earth3-Veg, EC-Earth3, FGOALS-g3, INM-CM4-8, INM-CM5-0, IPSL-CM6A-LR, MIROC6, MPI-ESM1-2-HR, MPI-ESM1-2-LR, MRI-ESM2-0, NorESM2-LM, NorESM2-MM, TaiESM1
CORDEX: CanESM2_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r1i1p1_KNMI-RACMO22T, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, IPSL-CM5A-MR_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, MIROC5_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, GFDL-ESM2M_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4

effective precipitation DJF

Observations [mm]
era5, mswx
Models [mm]
CMIP6: ACCESS-CM2, ACCESS-ESM1-5, CMCC-ESM2, CNRM-CM6-1-HR, CNRM-CM6-1, CanESM5, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR, EC-Earth3-Veg, EC-Earth3, FGOALS-g3, INM-CM4-8, INM-CM5-0, IPSL-CM6A-LR, MIROC6, MPI-ESM1-2-HR, MPI-ESM1-2-LR, MRI-ESM2-0, NorESM2-LM, NorESM2-MM, TaiESM1
CORDEX: CanESM2_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r1i1p1_KNMI-RACMO22T, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, IPSL-CM5A-MR_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, MIROC5_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, GFDL-ESM2M_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4

smoothed GSAT [C]

CMIP6: ACCESS-CM2_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, ACCESS-ESM1-5_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, AWI-CM-1-1-MR_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, BCC-CSM2-MR_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, CMCC-CM2-SR5_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, CMCC-ESM2_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, CNRM-CM6-1-HR_r1i1p1f2.hssp585, CNRM-CM6-1_r1i1p1f2.hssp585, CanESM5_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, EC-Earth3-Veg_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, EC-Earth3_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, FGOALS-g3_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, GFDL-CM4_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, GFDL-ESM4_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, INM-CM4-8_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, INM-CM5-0_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, KACE-1-0-G_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, MIROC6_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, MPI-ESM1-2-HR_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, MPI-ESM1-2-LR_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, MRI-ESM2-0_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, NorESM2-LM_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, NorESM2-MM_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, TaiESM1_r1i1p1f1.hssp585
CMIP5: CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0_rcp85_r1, CanESM2_rcp85_r1, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r1, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12, EC-EARTH_rcp85_r3, GFDL-ESM2M_rcp85_r1, HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1, IPSL-CM5A-LR_rcp85_r1, IPSL-CM5A-MR_rcp85_r1, MIROC5_rcp85_r1, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r2, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r3, MPI-ESM-MR_rcp85_r1, NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1

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