Attribution Fennoscandia Cold 2024

Box 62N-70N, 10E-30W and Oslo - time series

Jul-Jun TN5day box

Observations [C]
ERA5

Models [C]
EURO-CORDEX: CCCma-CanESM2_rcp85_r1i1p1_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, CCCma-CanESM2_rcp85_r1i1p1_GERICS-REMO2015, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_CNRM-ALADIN53, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12i1p1_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12i1p1_GERICS-REMO2015, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12i1p1_ICTP-RegCM4-6, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12i1p1_IPSL-WRF381P, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12i1p1_MOHC-HadREM3-GA7-05, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12i1p1_UHOH-WRF361H, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_rcp85_r1i1p1_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_rcp85_r1i1p1_DMI-HIRHAM5, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_rcp85_r1i1p1_KNMI-RACMO22E, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_rcp85_r1i1p1_DMI-HIRHAM5, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_rcp85_r1i1p1_GERICS-REMO2015, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_rcp85_r1i1p1_IPSL-WRF381P, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_rcp85_r1i1p1_KNMI-RACMO22E, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, MIROC-MIROC5_rcp85_r1i1p1_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MIROC-MIROC5_rcp85_r1i1p1_GERICS-REMO2015, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_CNRM-ALADIN63, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_GERICS-REMO2015, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_ICTP-RegCM4-6, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_IPSL-WRF381P, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_MOHC-HadREM3-GA7-05, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1i1p1_UHOH-WRF361H, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_CNRM-ALADIN63, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_DMI-HIRHAM5, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_ICTP-RegCM4-6, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_IPSL-WRF381P, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_KNMI-RACMO22E, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_MOHC-HadREM3-GA7-05, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_MPI-CSC-REMO2009, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1i1p1_UHOH-WRF361H, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r3i1p1_GERICS-REMO2015, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r3i1p1_SMHI-RCA4, NCC-NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, NCC-NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_CNRM-ALADIN63, NCC-NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_GERICS-REMO2015, NCC-NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_ICTP-RegCM4-6, NCC-NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_IPSL-WRF381P, NCC-NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_KNMI-RACMO22E, NCC-NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1i1p1_MOHC-HadREM3-GA7-05
CMIP6: ACCESS-CM2_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_, ACCESS-ESM1-5_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_, CMCC-ESM2_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_, CNRM-CM6-1-HR_ssp585_r1i1p1f2_, CNRM-CM6-1_ssp585_r1i1p1f2_, CanESM5_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_, EC-Earth3-Veg_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_, EC-Earth3_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_, FGOALS-g3_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_, INM-CM4-8_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_, INM-CM5-0_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_, IPSL-CM6A-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_, MIROC6_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_, MPI-ESM1-2-HR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_, MPI-ESM1-2-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_, MRI-ESM2-0_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_, NorESM2-LM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_, NorESM2-MM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1_

Jul-Jun TN1day stations (models only Oslo)

Observations [C]
Abisko, Helsinki_Kaisaniemi, Oslo_Blindern

Models [C] (Oslo)
EURO-CORDEX: CCCma-CanESM2_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, CCCma-CanESM2_GERICS-REMO2015, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5_SMHI-RCA4, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_DMI-HIRHAM5, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_GERICS-REMO2015, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_ICTP-RegCM4-6, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_IPSL-WRF381P, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_KNMI-RACMO22E, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_MOHC-HadREM3-GA7-05, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_SMHI-RCA4, ICHEC-EC-EARTH_UHOH-WRF361H, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_DMI-HIRHAM5, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_GERICS-REMO2015, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_IPSL-WRF381P, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_KNMI-RACMO22E, IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR_SMHI-RCA4, MIROC-MIROC5_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MIROC-MIROC5_GERICS-REMO2015, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_CNRM-ALADIN63, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_GERICS-REMO2015, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_ICTP-RegCM4-6, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_IPSL-WRF381P, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_MOHC-HadREM3-GA7-05, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_SMHI-RCA4, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES_UHOH-WRF361H, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_CNRM-ALADIN63, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_DMI-HIRHAM5, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_GERICS-REMO2015, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_ICTP-RegCM4-6, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_IPSL-WRF381P, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_KNMI-RACMO22E, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_MOHC-HadREM3-GA7-05, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_MPI-CSC-REMO2009, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_SMHI-RCA4, MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR_UHOH-WRF361H, NCC-NorESM1-M_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, NCC-NorESM1-M_CNRM-ALADIN63, NCC-NorESM1-M_GERICS-REMO2015, NCC-NorESM1-M_ICTP-RegCM4-6, NCC-NorESM1-M_IPSL-WRF381P, NCC-NorESM1-M_KNMI-RACMO22E, NCC-NorESM1-M_MOHC-HadREM3-GA7-05
CMIP6: ACCESS-ESM1-5_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, CMCC-ESM2_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, CNRM-CM6-1-HR_ssp585_r1i1p1f2, CNRM-CM6-1_ssp585_r1i1p1f2, CanESM5_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3-Veg_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, FGOALS-g3_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, IPSL-CM6A-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, MIROC6_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, MPI-ESM1-2-HR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, MPI-ESM1-2-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, MRI-ESM2-0_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, NorESM2-LM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, NorESM2-MM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1

smoothed GSAT (models) [C]:
CMIP6: ACCESS-CM2, ACCESS-ESM1-5, CMCC-ESM2, CNRM-CM6-1-HR, CNRM-CM6-1, CanESM5, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR, EC-Earth3-Veg, EC-Earth3, FGOALS-g3, INM-CM4-8, INM-CM5-0, IPSL-CM6A-LR, MIROC6, MPI-ESM1-2-HR, MPI-ESM1-2-LR, MRI-ESM2-0, NorESM2-LM, NorESM2-MM, TaiESM1
CMIP5: CNRM-CM5, CanESM2, EC-EARTH, HadGEM2-ES, IPSL-CM5A-LR, MIROC5, MPI-ESM-LR, NorESM1-M

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