Attribution West Asian Drought 2023

Euphrates and Tigris basin and Iran - time series

Syria/Iraq (Euphrates and Tigris basin)

precipitation

Observations [mm]
ERA5
Models [mm]
EURO-CORDEX: EC-EARTH_r12_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, HadGEM2-ES_r1_GERICS-REMO2015, MIROC5_r1_ICTP-RegCM4-7, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_GERICS-REMO2015, MPI-ESM-MR_r1_ICTP-RegCM4-7, NorESM1-M_r1_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, NorESM1-M_r1_GERICS-REMO2015, NorESM1-M_r1_ICTP-RegCM4-7
CMIP6: ACCESS-ESM1-5_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, CMCC-ESM2_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, GFDL-CM4_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, IPSL-CM6A-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, KACE-1-0-G_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, MIROC6_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, MRI-ESM2-0_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, NorESM2-LM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, NorESM2-MM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, TaiESM1_ssp585_r1i1p1f1

SPEI36

Observations
ERA5_HG, ERA5_precalcPET, SPEIbase
Models
EURO-CORDEX: EC-EARTH_r12_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, HadGEM2-ES_r1_GERICS-REMO2015, MIROC5_r1_ICTP-RegCM4-7, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_GERICS-REMO2015, MPI-ESM-MR_r1_ICTP-RegCM4-7, NorESM1-M_r1_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, NorESM1-M_r1_GERICS-REMO2015, NorESM1-M_r1_ICTP-RegCM4-7
CMIP6: ACCESS-ESM1-5_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, CMCC-ESM2_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, GFDL-CM4_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, IPSL-CM6A-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, KACE-1-0-G_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, MIROC6_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, MRI-ESM2-0_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, NorESM2-LM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, NorESM2-MM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, TaiESM1_ssp585_r1i1p1f1

temperature

Observations [C]
ERA5
Models [C]
EURO-CORDEX: EC-EARTH_r12_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, HadGEM2-ES_r1_GERICS-REMO2015, MIROC5_r1_ICTP-RegCM4-7, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_GERICS-REMO2015, MPI-ESM-MR_r1_ICTP-RegCM4-7, NorESM1-M_r1_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, NorESM1-M_r1_GERICS-REMO2015, NorESM1-M_r1_ICTP-RegCM4-7
CMIP6: ACCESS-ESM1-5_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, CMCC-ESM2_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, GFDL-CM4_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, IPSL-CM6A-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, KACE-1-0-G_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, MIROC6_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, MRI-ESM2-0_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, NorESM2-LM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, NorESM2-MM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, TaiESM1_ssp585_r1i1p1f1

Iran

precipitation

Observations [mm]
ERA5
Models [mm]
EURO-CORDEX: EC-EARTH_r12_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, HadGEM2-ES_r1_GERICS-REMO2015, MIROC5_r1_ICTP-RegCM4-7, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_GERICS-REMO2015, MPI-ESM-MR_r1_ICTP-RegCM4-7, NorESM1-M_r1_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, NorESM1-M_r1_GERICS-REMO2015, NorESM1-M_r1_ICTP-RegCM4-7
CMIP6: ACCESS-ESM1-5_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, CMCC-ESM2_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, GFDL-CM4_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, IPSL-CM6A-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, KACE-1-0-G_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, MIROC6_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, MRI-ESM2-0_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, NorESM2-LM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, NorESM2-MM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, TaiESM1_ssp585_r1i1p1f1

SPEI36

Observations
ERA5_HG, ERA5_precalcPET, SPEIbase
Models
EURO-CORDEX: EC-EARTH_r12_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, HadGEM2-ES_r1_GERICS-REMO2015, MIROC5_r1_ICTP-RegCM4-7, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_GERICS-REMO2015, MPI-ESM-MR_r1_ICTP-RegCM4-7, NorESM1-M_r1_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, NorESM1-M_r1_GERICS-REMO2015, NorESM1-M_r1_ICTP-RegCM4-7
CMIP6: ACCESS-ESM1-5_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, CMCC-ESM2_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, GFDL-CM4_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, IPSL-CM6A-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, KACE-1-0-G_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, MIROC6_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, MRI-ESM2-0_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, NorESM2-LM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, NorESM2-MM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, TaiESM1_ssp585_r1i1p1f1

temperature

Observations [C]
ERA5
Models [C]
EURO-CORDEX: EC-EARTH_r12_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, HadGEM2-ES_r1_GERICS-REMO2015, MIROC5_r1_ICTP-RegCM4-7, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, MPI-ESM-LR_r1_GERICS-REMO2015, MPI-ESM-MR_r1_ICTP-RegCM4-7, NorESM1-M_r1_CLMcom-ETH-COSMO-crCLIM-v1-1, NorESM1-M_r1_GERICS-REMO2015, NorESM1-M_r1_ICTP-RegCM4-7
CMIP6: ACCESS-ESM1-5_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, CMCC-ESM2_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, EC-Earth3_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, GFDL-CM4_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, IPSL-CM6A-LR_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, KACE-1-0-G_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, MIROC6_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, MRI-ESM2-0_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, NorESM2-LM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, NorESM2-MM_ssp585_r1i1p1f1, TaiESM1_ssp585_r1i1p1f1

smoothed GMST and GSAT (models) [C]:

CMIP6: ACCESS-CM2_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, CMCC-ESM2_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, CNRM-CM6-1-HR_r1i1p1f2.hssp585, CNRM-CM6-1_r1i1p1f2.hssp585, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, EC-Earth3_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, GFDL-CM4_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, IPSL-CM6A-LR_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, KACE-1-0-G_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, MIROC6_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, MRI-ESM2-0_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, NorESM2-LM_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, NorESM2-MM_r1i1p1f1.hssp585, TaiESM1_r1i1p1f1.hssp585
CMIP5: EC-EARTH_rcp85_r12, HadGEM2-ES_rcp85_r1, MIROC5_rcp85_r1, MPI-ESM-LR_rcp85_r1, NorESM1-M_rcp85_r1

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