Estonia
observations,
HadGEM3-A,
EC-Earth2.3,
EC-Earth3,
MPI-GE,
MPI-ESM1.2,
NorESM2,
ACCESS1-3,
CMCC-CMS,
CSIRO-Mk3-6-0,
GISS-E2-H-CC_p1,
GISS-E2-R_p1,
GISS-E2-R_p2,
GISS-E2-R_p3,
IPSL-CM5A-MR,
MIROC5,
MRI-CGCM3,
bcc-csm1-1-m.
Latvia
observations,
HadGEM3-A,
EC-Earth2.3,
EC-Earth3,
MPI-GE,
MPI-ESM1.2,
NorESM2,
ACCESS1-3,
CSIRO-Mk3-6-0,
GISS-E2-R_p3,
IPSL-CM5A-MR.
Sweden
observations,
HadGEM3-A,
EC-Earth2.3,
EC-Earth3,
MPI-GE,
MPI-ESM1.2,
NorESM2,
ACCESS1-3,
CESM1-CAM5,
GISS-E2-R_p1,
GISS-E2-R_p2,
GISS-E2-R_p3,
IPSL-CM5A-MR.
Denmark
observations,
HadGEM3-A,
EC-Earth2.3,
RACMO2.2E,
EC-Earth3,
MPI-ESM,
MPI-GE,
MPI-ESM1.2,
NorESM2,
GISS-E2-H-CC_p1,
GISS-E2-H_p1,
GISS-E2-H_p2,
GISS-E2-H_p3,
IPSL-CM5A-MR,
MIROC5,
MPI-ESM-LR,
MPI-ESM-MR.
Covariates
smoothed observed GMST (4-yr running mean GISTEMP),
annual mean ensemble mean
EC-Earth2.3 GMST,
EC-Earth3 GMST,
MPI-GE,
MPI-ESM1.2,
NorESM2,
ACCESS1-3,
CESM1-CAM5,
CMCC-CMS,
CSIRO-Mk3-6-0,
GISS-E2-H-CC_p1,
GISS-E2-H_p1,
GISS-E2-H_p2,
GISS-E2-H_p3,
GISS-E2-R_p1,
GISS-E2-R_p2,
GISS-E2-R_p3,
IPSL-CM5A-MR,
MIROC5,
MPI-ESM-LR,
MPI-ESM-MR,
MRI-CGCM3,
bcc-csm1-1-m.